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Modelling trade and climate change policy: a strategic framework for global environmental negotiators

Khalid Ahmed, Naveed Ahmed, Muhammad Shahbaz, Ilhan Ozturk, Wei Long
Available Online 14 June 2016, jwc2016123; DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2016.123
Khalid Ahmed
Sukkur Institute of Business Administration, Sukkur 65200, Pakistan
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Naveed Ahmed
Shaheed Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto Institute of Science and Technology (SZABIST), Dubai International Academic City, Dubai, UAE
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Muhammad Shahbaz
Energy Research Center, COMSATS Institute of Information Technology, Lahore, Pakistan
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Ilhan Ozturk
Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Cag University, 33800 Mersin, Turkey E-mail: ilhanozturk@cag.edu.tr
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Wei Long
Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, P.R. China
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Abstract

In the past, failure of trade–climate talks might have created negative signs, but international trade actually induces more participation and helps to attain joint agreement. Carbon permit trading has a key role to play in the abatement process. Participation in global multilateral negotiations and a country's self-interest with respect to entering an abatement process depends upon either the scale of climate change damage or the punishment level that affects its economy. Thus, this study assumes N good cases for countries that have substantial emission levels. We analyse the change in utility function through a business-as-usual scenario for both group and individual country levels. The model designed in this study examines the data on emissions and GDP for selected developing and developed countries and the rest of the world. The data calibrations are similar to those of Cai et al. (2009) and use the temperature and emission projections of Mendelsohn (2007) and Stern (2006), respectively. However, this study extends the model to a strategic level at which countries can choose coalition partners to undertake abatement for mutual benefits, considering the terms of trade. The results possess strong trade–environment policy options and help them to reach certain multilateral agreement.

  • climate change
  • tariffs
  • trade
  • First received 17 November 2014.
  • Accepted in revised form 6 May 2016.
  • © IWA Publishing 2016
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Journal of Water and Climate Change: 9 (1)
  Volume 9,issue 1

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Modelling trade and climate change policy: a strategic framework for global environmental negotiators
Khalid Ahmed, Naveed Ahmed, Muhammad Shahbaz, Ilhan Ozturk, Wei Long
Journal of Water and Climate Change Jun 2016, jwc2016123; DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2016.123
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Modelling trade and climate change policy: a strategic framework for global environmental negotiators
Khalid Ahmed, Naveed Ahmed, Muhammad Shahbaz, Ilhan Ozturk, Wei Long
Journal of Water and Climate Change Jun 2016, jwc2016123; DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2016.123

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Keywords

climate change
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